Wednesday, May 4, 2011

Bin Laden will not end Pak-US marriage of convenience (AFP)

ISLAMABAD (AFP) – Osama containerful Laden's ending has again inflamed tensions between Islamabad and Washington, but analysts say there crapper be no split between uneasy bedfellows unfree in a struggle against an implacable foe.

The US commando raid, which ended a 10-year manhunt in arguably America's large victory in the struggle on Al-Qaeda, came when info cooperation with Pakistan -- at least publicly -- was at an all-time low.

The head of the CIA, metropolis Panetta, said Islamabad had not been conversant because its agents could impact tipped containerful Laden off, in a highly public and inculpative instrument of the loyalty of an official ally.

"If complicity is established, there module be severe punishments and sanctions for Pakistan," said A.H. Nayyar, accumulation and security analyst.

"We module impact to then end whether we impact to side with jihadis or survive (as a functional state)."

Since attractive office, US President Barack Obama has place Pakistan at the hunch of the struggle on Al-Qaeda, raise drone attacks that impact whipped up virulent anti-Americanism among Pakistan's accumulation of 170 million.

Despite Pakistan locution US boots on the connector are a flushed line, the presence of US Special Operations organisation was bare by a 2010 slayer move in which threesome of them were killed.

Officials then confirmed 200 US expeditionary organisation in the country. Reports also say there is an elite US unit that could control in to attempt to bonded Pakistan's thermonuclear weapons if the polity disintegrated.

Bin Laden's killing, which saw Americans fall in on helicopters, assail a compound and control out appears again to impact desecrated Pakistan's sovereignty.

It has exclusive ever been an sorry wedlock of convenience between Islamabad and Washington, mutually interdependent in a orbicular conflict against Islamist militancy in digit of the toughest battlegrounds in the world.

It has never been a meeting of minds. Ten eld after Pakistan sided with the United States after the 9/11 attacks and ostensibly overturned its backwards on the Taleban it helped create, the digit countries rest polls apart.

For Obama, the goal has been to defeat Al-Qaeda, alter Taleban momentum and stop US personnel from neighbouring Afghanistan, ensuring that the land never again becomes a opening for terrorism.

Pakistan, bad of existence forsaken by the United States and not wanting to fisticuffs militants who do not bear a husbandly threat, is said to rest close to the Afghan Taleban and their allies, the Al-Qaeda-linked Haqqani group.

The intellection goes that when the Americans stop from Afghanistan these groups module rest and their alliances with Islamic Pakistan crapper help equilibrize the detected threat display by bend competition and regional nation India.

"This is not the foundation for a long-lasting partnership," said Lisa Curtis, a grownup research man at the standpat Heritage Foundation.

"And the partnership module be doomed to unfortunate unless Pakistan demonstrates dedication to uprooting Islamist extremism in every its forms," she added, writing on the Foreign Policy website.

Relations already impact disaster point this year over Pakistan's confinement of a CIA fasciculus who killed digit men in panoptic daylight. Pakistan reportedly demanded a drastic change in covert dweller agents operating on its soil.

But threesome life after containerful Laden's death, questions rest over Pakistan's persona in the activeness and info assembling leading up to his discovery, which Islamabad said it aided with from 2009.

Some experts struggle to swallow insistence from pedagogue and Islamabad that Pakistan was not warned of the operation, incredulous that US helicopters could rattling control into Asiatic expose expanse without existence detected or effort down.

The confusion makes it arduous to prognosticate the outcome for Pakistan-US ties another than that the Asiatic establishment is likely to be squeezed further between US push to do more against militants and rising emotion at home.

"The US would certainly same to go after the remaining Al-Qaeda leaders, including (number digit Ayman al-)Zawahiri, and I conceive the Americans module be convinced that these grouping are also hiding in Pakistan," said proficient Rahimullah Yusufzai.

"There module today be a aggregation more push on Pakistan from the US and the West to go after the Haqqani meshwork and it module be arduous for the polity to refuse to cooperate with the US."

Protesters impact already condemned to the streets and more are predicted to do so on Friday, the important Islamic period of rest, wild that their anaemic polity is a US puppet or helpless in the face of US impunity.

Faced with a ballooning public deficit, polity coffers depend on Washington, amassing $20 1000000000 in expeditionary and scheme aid since 2002.

US lawmakers healthy the change on "sustained commitment" to combating imp but their containerful Laden unfortunate is raising questions most why Islamabad should be paying so such for so lowercase manifest return.

As daylong as dweller personnel rest in landlocked Afghanistan, interdependent on Pakistan's opening and agency meshwork to ship supplies, Pakistan is overconfident that the United States would never move revilement the contract strings.

"There is no option but to cooperate. But there module be accent problems for Pakistan once Americans stop completely from Afghanistan," warned Yusufzai.


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